Ishyirahamwe ry’ibyuma by’isi ryitwa Bruxelles (Worldsteel) ryashyize ahagaragara icyerekezo cyacyo kigufi mu 2021 na 2022. Worldsteel ivuga ko icyifuzo cy’ibyuma kiziyongera 5.8 ku ijana mu 2021 kigere kuri toni zigera kuri miliyari 1.88.
Umusaruro w’ibyuma wagabanutseho 0.2 ku ijana muri 2020. Muri 2022, ibyuma bizakenera kwiyongera ku gipimo cya 2,7 ku ijana kugira ngo bigere kuri toni zigera kuri miliyari 1.925.
Worldsteel ivuga ko iteganyagihe ririho ubu, rivuga ko “igihembwe cya kabiri cyangwa icya gatatu cy’indwara zanduye [COVID-19] zizahagarara mu gihembwe cya kabiri kandi ko intambwe ishimishije ku nkingo izagerwaho, bigatuma buhoro buhoro bisubira mu buzima busanzwe mu bihugu bikomeye bikoresha ibyuma. . ”
Umuyobozi wa komite ishinzwe ubukungu ku isi, Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi yagize ati: "N'ubwo icyorezo cy’icyorezo cyagize ingaruka ku mibereho no mu mibereho, inganda z’ibyuma ku isi zagize amahirwe yo kurangiza 2020 kugira ngo habeho kugabanuka gukabije kw’icyuma."
Iyi komite ivuga ko hakiri “ukutamenya gushidikanya mu myaka ya 2021 isigaye,” ivuga ko ihindagurika rya virusi ndetse n’iterambere ry’inkingo, gukuraho politiki y’imari n’ifaranga rishyigikira, geopolitike n’ubucuruzi bw’ubucuruzi byose bishobora kugira ingaruka ku isubiranamo ryavuzwe mu iteganyagihe.
Worldsteel yaranditse ati: “Mu bihugu byateye imbere,“ Nyuma y’igabanuka ry’ubukungu mu bikorwa by’ubukungu mu gihembwe cya kabiri cya 2020, muri rusange inganda zazamutse vuba mu gihembwe cya gatatu, ahanini bitewe n’ingamba zifatika zo gushimangira imari no gukuraho icyifuzo cya pent-up ”.
Iri shyirahamwe rivuga ariko ko urwego rw’ibikorwa rwakomeje kuba munsi y’icyorezo cy’icyorezo mu mpera za 2020. Kubera iyo mpamvu, icyuma cy’isi cyateye imbere cyaragabanutseho 12.7 ku ijana muri 2020.
Iteganya Worldsteel, “Tuzabona gukira gukomeye mu 2021 na 2022, hamwe no kwiyongera kwa 8.2 ku ijana na 4.2 ku ijana. Icyakora, icyifuzo cy'ibyuma mu 2022 kizakomeza kugera ku rwego rwa 2019. ”
Nubwo ubwandu bukabije, ubukungu bw’Amerika bwashoboye kongera kwiyongera kuva ku muhengeri wa mbere bitewe ahanini n’ingengo y’imari yashigikiraga ibyo kurya. Ibi byafashije gukora ibicuruzwa biramba, ariko muri rusange icyifuzo cy’ibyuma muri Amerika cyagabanutseho 18 ku ijana muri 2020.
Ubuyobozi bwa Biden bwatangaje icyifuzo cy’ingengo y’imari ingana na tiriyari 2 z’amadolari akubiyemo ingingo z’ishoramari ry’ibikorwa remezo mu gihe cy’imyaka myinshi. Gahunda izakorerwa imishyikirano muri Kongere.
Hafi ya gahunda zose zavuyemo zizaba zifite ubushobozi bwo gukenera ibyuma. Nubwo bimeze bityo ariko, nubwo ibi bigenda byihuta mu gukingirwa, gukenera ibyuma bizagabanywa mu gihe gito n’ingaruka nke mu iyubakwa ry’ingufu n’ingufu zidatuye. Urwego rwimodoka ruteganijwe gukira cyane.
Worldsteel ivuga ko mu Muryango w’ubumwe bw’ibihugu by’Uburayi, inzego zikoresha ibyuma byahuye n’ingamba zatewe n’ingamba za mbere zafunzwe mu mwaka wa 2020 ariko zikaba zaragaragaye ko izagabanuka cyane nyuma y’ibikorwa by’inganda nyuma y’ibikorwa by’inganda bitewe n’ingamba za leta zishyigikiwe n’ibisabwa na pente.
Kubera iyo mpamvu, icyifuzo cy’ibyuma mu 2020 mu bihugu by’Uburayi ibihugu 27 n’Ubwongereza byarangiranye no kugabanuka kurenza uko byari byitezwe 11.4 ku ijana.
Worldsteel igira iti: "Biteganijwe ko gukira mu 2021 na 2022 bizaba byiza, biterwa no gukira mu nzego zose zikoresha ibyuma, cyane cyane iz'imodoka ndetse n’ibikorwa byo kubaka rusange." Kugeza ubu, Umuryango w’ubumwe bw’ibihugu by’Uburayi ntiwigeze uhungabana kubera ko COVID-19 ikomeje kwiyongera, ariko ubuzima bw’umugabane wa Afurika “bukomeje kuba bubi”.
Worldsteel agira ati: "Itanura ry’ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga (EAF) biremereye Turukiya" byagabanutse cyane mu mwaka wa 2019 kubera ikibazo cy’ifaranga ryo mu 2018, [ariko] ryakomeje umuvuduko wo gukira watangiye mu mpera za 2019 kubera ibikorwa by’ubwubatsi. " Iri tsinda rivuga ko umuvuduko wo gukira uzakomeza, kandi biteganijwe ko ibyuma bizasubira mu rwego rw’ibibazo byihutirwa mu 2022.
Ubukungu bwa Koreya yepfo, ikindi gihugu cyatumijwe mu mahanga, cyarokotse igabanuka ryinshi ry’ibicuruzwa byinjira mu gihugu bitewe n’imicungire myiza y’iki cyorezo, kandi cyabonye imbaraga mu ishoramari n’ibikorwa byo kubaka.
Nubwo bimeze bityo ariko, icyifuzo cy'ibyuma cyaragabanutseho 8 ku ijana muri 2020 kubera kugabanuka mu bice by'imodoka no kubaka ubwato. Muri 2021-22, iyi mirenge yombi izayobora isubiranamo, izakomeza gushyigikirwa n'imbaraga zikomeje gushora imari muri gahunda n'ibikorwa remezo bya leta. Nubwo bimeze bityo, ibyifuzo byibyuma muri 2022 ntabwo byitezwe ko bizasubira kurwego rwicyorezo.
Ubuhinde bwababajwe cyane n’igihe kinini cyo gufunga bikabije, ibyo bikaba byaratumye ibikorwa byinshi by’inganda n’ubwubatsi bihagarara. Icyakora, ubukungu bwifashe neza kuva muri Kanama, (bikarishye cyane kuruta uko byari byitezwe, nk'uko Worldsteel ibivuga), hamwe n’imishinga ya leta isubukurwa ndetse n’ibikenerwa n’ibicuruzwa.
Icyuma cy’Ubuhinde cyaragabanutseho 13.7 ku ijana muri 2020 ariko biteganijwe ko kiziyongera ku gipimo cya 19.8 ku ijana kugira ngo kirenze urwego rwa 2019 mu 2021, bikaba bishoboka ko bitanga inkuru nziza ku bicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga. Gahunda ya guverinoma ishingiye ku iterambere izatuma ibyifuzo by’Ubuhinde bikenerwa, mu gihe ishoramari ryigenga rizatwara igihe kirekire kugira ngo risubirane.
Ubukungu bw’Ubuyapani nabwo bwibasiwe cyane n’icyorezo kubera guhagarika ibikorwa by’ubukungu bwagutse ndetse n’icyizere kidakabije cyiyongereye ku izamuka ry’imisoro yo mu Kwakira 2019. Mu gihe hagaragaye cyane igabanuka ry’umusaruro w’imodoka, icyifuzo cy’ibyuma cyaragabanutseho 16.8 ku ijana muri 2020. Isubiranamo ry’icyuma cy’Ubuyapani ry’icyuma kizaba giciriritse, bitewe n’izamuka ry’urwego rw’imodoka hamwe n’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga n’imashini z’inganda kubera ko isi yose yazamutse mu gukoresha imari shingiro. nk'uko Worldsteel ibivuga.
Mu ishyirahamwe ry’ibihugu byo mu majyepfo y’iburasirazuba bwa Aziya (ASEAN), ihungabana ry’imishinga y’ubwubatsi ryibasiye isoko ry’ibyuma rikura vuba, kandi ibyuma by’icyuma byagabanutseho 11.9 ku ijana muri 2020.
Maleziya (itumiza ibicuruzwa byinshi muri Amerika) na Filipine nibyo byibasiwe cyane, naho Vietnam na Indoneziya byagabanutse cyane ku byuma by’icyuma. Gusubirana bizaterwa no kongera buhoro buhoro ibikorwa byubwubatsi nubukerarugendo, bizihuta muri 2022.
Mu Bushinwa, urwego rw'ubwubatsi rwakize vuba guhera muri Mata 2020 gukomeza, rushyigikiwe n'ishoramari ry'ibikorwa remezo. Mu mwaka wa 2021 no gukomeza, ishoramari ry’imitungo itimukanwa rishobora kugabanuka bitewe n’ubuyobozi bwa guverinoma bwo kudindiza iterambere muri urwo rwego.
Ishoramari mu mishinga remezo muri 2020 ryatangaje ko iterambere ryiyongereyeho 0,9 ku ijana. Icyakora, kubera ko guverinoma y'Ubushinwa yatangije imishinga myinshi mishya yo gushyigikira ubukungu, biteganijwe ko izamuka ry’ishoramari ry'ibikorwa remezo rizatangira mu 2021 kandi rigakomeza kugira ingaruka ku byuma bikenerwa mu 2022.
Mu rwego rw’inganda, umusaruro w’imodoka wagarutse cyane kuva muri Gicurasi 2020. Muri 2020 yose, umusaruro w’imodoka wagabanutseho 1,4% gusa. Izindi nzego zikora inganda zerekanye iterambere kubera ibicuruzwa bikenewe byoherezwa mu mahanga.
Muri rusange, mu Bushinwa, gukoresha ibyuma bigaragara ko byazamutseho 9.1 ku ijana muri 2020. Mu 2021, biteganijwe ko ingamba zo gukangura zashyizweho mu 2020 zizakomeza kuba nyinshi kugira ngo ubukungu bukomeze kwiyongera. Kubera iyo mpamvu, imirenge myinshi itwara ibyuma izerekana mu buryo bushyize mu gaciro Ishyirahamwe ry’ibyuma by’isi rikorera i Buruseli (Worldsteel) ryashyize ahagaragara icyerekezo cyacyo kigufi mu 2021 na 2022. Worldsteel ivuga ko icyifuzo cy’ibyuma kiziyongera 5.8 ku ijana mu 2021 kugira ngo kigere kuri metero zigera kuri miliyari 1.88. toni.
Umusaruro w’ibyuma wagabanutseho 0.2 ku ijana muri 2020. Muri 2022, ibyuma bizakenera kwiyongera ku gipimo cya 2,7 ku ijana kugira ngo bigere kuri toni zigera kuri miliyari 1.925.
Worldsteel ivuga ko iteganyagihe ririho ubu, rivuga ko “igihembwe cya kabiri cyangwa icya gatatu cy’indwara zanduye [COVID-19] zizahagarara mu gihembwe cya kabiri kandi ko intambwe ishimishije ku nkingo izagerwaho, bigatuma buhoro buhoro bisubira mu buzima busanzwe mu bihugu bikomeye bikoresha ibyuma. . ”
Umuyobozi wa komite ishinzwe ubukungu ku isi, Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi yagize ati: "N'ubwo icyorezo cy’icyorezo cyagize ingaruka ku mibereho no mu mibereho, inganda z’ibyuma ku isi zagize amahirwe yo kurangiza 2020 kugira ngo habeho kugabanuka gukabije kw’icyuma."
Iyi komite ivuga ko hakiri “ukutamenya gushidikanya mu myaka ya 2021 isigaye,” ivuga ko ihindagurika rya virusi ndetse n’iterambere ry’inkingo, gukuraho politiki y’imari n’ifaranga rishyigikira, geopolitike n’ubucuruzi bw’ubucuruzi byose bishobora kugira ingaruka ku isubiranamo ryavuzwe mu iteganyagihe.
Worldsteel yaranditse ati: “Mu bihugu byateye imbere,“ Nyuma y’igabanuka ry’ubukungu mu bikorwa by’ubukungu mu gihembwe cya kabiri cya 2020, muri rusange inganda zazamutse vuba mu gihembwe cya gatatu, ahanini bitewe n’ingamba zifatika zo gushimangira imari no gukuraho icyifuzo cya pent-up ”.
Iri shyirahamwe rivuga ariko ko urwego rw’ibikorwa rwakomeje kuba munsi y’icyorezo cy’icyorezo mu mpera za 2020. Kubera iyo mpamvu, icyuma cy’isi cyateye imbere cyaragabanutseho 12.7 ku ijana muri 2020.
Iteganya Worldsteel, “Tuzabona gukira gukomeye mu 2021 na 2022, hamwe no kwiyongera kwa 8.2 ku ijana na 4.2 ku ijana. Icyakora, icyifuzo cy'ibyuma mu 2022 kizakomeza kugera ku rwego rwa 2019. ”
guverinoma yatangije imishinga mishya mishya yo gushyigikira ubukungu, biteganijwe ko izamuka ry’ishoramari ry’ibikorwa remezo rizatangira mu 2021 kandi rigakomeza kugira ingaruka ku byuma by’icyuma mu 2022.
Mu rwego rw’inganda, umusaruro w’imodoka wagarutse cyane kuva muri Gicurasi 2020. Muri 2020 yose, umusaruro w’imodoka wagabanutseho 1,4% gusa. Izindi nzego zikora inganda zerekanye iterambere kubera ibicuruzwa bikenewe byoherezwa mu mahanga.
Muri rusange, mu Bushinwa, gukoresha ibyuma bigaragara ko byazamutseho 9.1 ku ijana muri 2020. Mu 2021, biteganijwe ko ingamba zo gukangura zashyizweho mu 2020 zizakomeza kuba nyinshi kugira ngo ubukungu bukomeze kwiyongera. Kubera iyo mpamvu, inzego nyinshi zikoresha ibyuma bizerekana iterambere rito kandi biteganijwe ko icyifuzo cy’icyuma cy’Ubushinwa kiziyongera ku gipimo cya 3 ku ijana mu 2021. Mu 2022, izamuka ry’ibikenerwa ry’ibyuma “rizagenda ryihuta kugera ku ijana kuko ingaruka ziterwa no gukangura 2020 zizagabanuka, na guverinoma yibanda ku iterambere rirambye ”, nk'uko Worldsteel ibivuga.
Iterambere kandi biteganijwe ko Ubushinwa bukenera ibyuma byiyongera ku gipimo cya 3 ku ijana mu 2021. Mu 2022, izamuka ry’ibikenerwa ry’ibyuma “rizagenda ryihuta kugera ku ijana mu gihe ingaruka ziterwa no gukurura 2020 zizagabanuka, kandi guverinoma yibanda ku iterambere rirambye”, nk'uko Worldsteel ibitangaza.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Nzeri-28-2021